Calculating-Hypothesis
0xf05d94994e189a1f40c106790fae508af6498a7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$101.28
Total PnL
$-2.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$100.54
$0.54
- NO
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $6B?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.74
$-0.26
- ALL GAMERS
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?$100.49Jun 11, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$0.00Jun 11, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 11, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$99.52Jun 11, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 11, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.25May 20, 09:28 UTC
- REWARD$8.98May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 2.5$5.00May 16, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$5.15May 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $6B one day after launch?$0.76May 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2$0.25May 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLMagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.85May 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.92May 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.92May 16, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2$1.81May 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.96May 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$0.99May 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.01May 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.99May 16, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.01May 16, 12:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $10.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 01:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.