Jittery-Popsicle
0xf062e79f7d361238aad30f69c67dfce13a66b93d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$41.64
Total PnL
$-88.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?
33 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$14.16
$0.16
- YES
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30?
29 shares @ 34.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$9.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-30?
30 shares @ 33.7¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$9.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-30?
24 shares @ 37.3¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$8.37
$-0.42
- YES
Will FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-23?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?
26 shares @ 81.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-30?$9.07Jul 24, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-30?$10.33Jul 24, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30?$10.33Jul 24, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?$14.40Jul 24, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-23?$22.73Jul 24, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Flora win on 2026-07-23?$21.40Jul 23, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Flora win on 2026-07-23?$9.25Jul 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?$10.38Jul 23, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-23?$10.28Jul 23, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-23?$10.35Jul 23, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $300M one day after launch?$21.27May 3, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?$21.68May 3, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?$20.00Apr 21, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$14.89Apr 21, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$14.00Apr 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$10.00Apr 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 13, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?$13.89Apr 13, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$24.42Apr 13, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $12.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.