Vast-Dollar
0xf06c7308874991b1c1e80ad76d69926ab409b636
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$168.31
Total PnL
$-715.57
Realised
$-2.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
89 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$87.80
$0.13
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?
31 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$30.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$24.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$15.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.53
$0.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November 2?
892 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-683.38
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
17 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- MAGIC
Pacers vs. Magic
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$87.67Jul 15, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in July?$31.00Jul 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 in July?$15.00Jul 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$25.00Jul 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$10.20Jul 14, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in June?$15.06Jul 14, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$20.06Jul 14, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$133.86Jul 14, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$62.43Jun 4, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$20.00Jun 4, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in June?$15.00Jun 4, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$10.10Jun 4, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$11.01Jun 4, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Thunder$34.09Jun 4, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$63.19Jun 4, 08:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $31.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.