Violent-Stole
0xf08385c9a5892c3bdace2e4394815c8650bd7c43
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$108.10
Total PnL
$-25.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
23 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$23.33
$0.33
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
25 shares @ 92.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$22.15
$-0.88
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?
22 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$21.91
$0.14
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
21 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.56
$0.03
- NO
Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.6¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$20.15
$0.14
- NO
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
25 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dua Lipa perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$23.02Jul 15, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$23.10Jul 15, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$21.78Jul 15, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ shots AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$20.98Jul 15, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$20.53Jul 15, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 14?$2.1KJul 14, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 14?$2.1KJul 14, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 13?$2.1KJul 14, 11:05 UTC
- REWARD$5.19Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 13?$2.1KJul 13, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$20.20Jul 13, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?$20.20Jul 13, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.24Jul 13, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.80Jul 13, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$26.01Jul 13, 11:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $367.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.