That-Divide
0xf08848b2f70524573ca48f6c44069f635270f575
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-210.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
597 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
159 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
138 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?
118 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
83 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 16?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXtreme Gaming to win 2-0? AND Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?$3.00Jul 11, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.05Jun 30, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$5.95Jun 29, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?$0.70Jun 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?$0.28Jun 18, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?$1.56Jun 17, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17?$0.28Jun 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.29Jun 16, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$41.76Jun 16, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$46.95Jun 16, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17?$3.20Jun 16, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?$2.10Jun 16, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$7.16Jun 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Middle East" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?$15.32Jun 16, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Uranium" this week?$1.04Jun 16, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Traitor" this week?$1.04Jun 16, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "UFC" this week?$2.08Jun 16, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?$2.08Jun 16, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?$1.04Jun 16, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Dana” or “White” 5+ times during UFC 250?$1.04Jun 16, 14:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 05:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.