Orange-Revascularisation
0xf093b87c5441977c272c5755cc2e6eeda1b72609
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$94.10
Total PnL
$-62.64
Realised
$-19.13
Win rate
4%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
45 shares @ 44.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.68
$14.68
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
17 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.51
$7.43
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
13 shares @ 37.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.40
$8.40
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.36
$3.36
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
13 shares @ 37.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.22
$8.22
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.94
$-2.06
- NO
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?
88 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- 90K
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
26 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.13Jun 3, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.12Jun 3, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$5.18May 22, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$31.98May 22, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.04May 11, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.04May 11, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.06May 11, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.05May 8, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.05May 8, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.04May 7, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.03May 7, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.04May 7, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.04May 7, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.03May 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.67May 7, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$4.00May 7, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.05May 6, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.03May 6, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$2.08May 4, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$3.11May 4, 06:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 06:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.