Key-Sovereignty
0xf0d5eb1cbe7350f1f896ade6c172e6700414c665
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$64.4K
Total PnL
$-468.6K
Realised
$5.2K
Win rate
63%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
16021 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$16.0K
$-26.85
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
11891 shares @ 84.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.9K
$-169.45
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10029 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.9K
$356.16
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
8842 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.8K
$605.55
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
43382 shares @ 6.4¢·now 9.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.0K
$1.2K
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
3716 shares @ 88.7¢·now 93.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.5K
$194.46
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
3349 shares @ 82.4¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.8K
$86.29
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3757 shares @ 34.5¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$1.5K
- NO
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
1779 shares @ 63.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.2K
$80.83
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?
1583 shares @ 79.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$799.32
$-453.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump dance on June 12, 2026?$320.93Jun 13, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$383.37Jun 13, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.7KJun 13, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$49.44Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$159.26Jun 13, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$0.00Jun 13, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?$7.11Jun 13, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?$1.55Jun 13, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?$1.82Jun 13, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on June 12, 2026?$319.78Jun 13, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$4.82Jun 13, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$20.4KJun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$7.5KJun 13, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$12.8KJun 13, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$473.34Jun 13, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?$79.75Jun 13, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?$2.0KJun 13, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$10.14Jun 13, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$15.23Jun 13, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$10.09Jun 13, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.