Soft-Tower
0xf0d8342d719250ca3656fcc9acf03e5baf5bf5e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-441.87
Win rate
3%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?
5467 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-58.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
4774 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?
4101 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
2579 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-82.76
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?
2401 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?
1608 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$118.84Jul 29, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8.40Jul 29, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?$53.46Jul 3, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?$42.75Jul 3, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$53.39Jul 3, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?$53.29Jul 3, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?$53.11Jul 3, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?$41.46Jul 1, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 1?$1.19Jul 1, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?$60.81Jul 1, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?$1.39Jul 1, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$78.27Jun 30, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$4.79Jun 30, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$501.55Jun 27, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$49.59Jun 14, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$11.50Jun 14, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$36.76Jun 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$36.38Jun 12, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$36.37Jun 12, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$4.20Jun 12, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $25.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.