Damp-Pheromone
0xf0d9d82cd8683a7098b64b9461167cd4a98394c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$181.44
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$991.38
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 28.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.50
$-31.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
1100 shares @ 29.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$19.25
$-304.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
1213 shares @ 19.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$12.74
$-223.61
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
300 shares @ 34.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$8.85
$-93.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?
1000 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.50
$-108.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?
800 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.60
$-46.40
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
16400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-816.62
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.96Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.68Jul 7, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $15.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 06:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.