Puny-Twister
0xf0e73889550800cefc1db964694ff35a1ec16c2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$50.23
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-1.37
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 89.1¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$29.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$20.47
$0.47
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
345 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
244 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- T1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
138 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
123 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?
70 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.63
- KINGS
Kings vs. Jazz
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- PISTONS
Wizards vs. Pistons
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals$10.64Jul 29, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$10.64Jul 29, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$30.16Jul 29, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$20.25Jul 29, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$5.10Jul 29, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$10.03Jul 29, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals$10.03Jul 29, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$46.79Jul 28, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$40.88Jul 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?$10.14Jul 27, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$40.04Jul 27, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$10.14Jul 27, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?$10.18Jul 26, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$30.13Jul 26, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$22.47Jul 26, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants$13.33Jul 25, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CF América win on 2026-07-24?$10.10Jul 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants$10.12Jul 25, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$25.58Jul 24, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$20.11Jul 24, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $20.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 01:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.