Decisive-Diagnosis
0xf0f5ec57aaa9927d9b57d5477b12100b4a128940
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.12
Total PnL
$-3.43
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- YES
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.59
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $520-$530 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-0.66
- YES
Will "My Secret Santa" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will End of Beginning by Djo be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 24?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.53
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in December 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?$1.01May 17, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 12?$1.01May 17, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Comey leave the country by May 15?$1.07May 17, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 16?$1.08May 17, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Roommates" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$1.09May 17, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.13May 17, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 140-159 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$5.16May 17, 11:36 UTC
- SPLITWill White House post 140-159 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$5.16May 11, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Comey leave the country by May 15?$5.13May 11, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Comey leave the country by May 15?$6.20May 11, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Roommates" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$6.21May 11, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Roommates" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$7.30May 11, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.05May 11, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 16?$8.31May 11, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 16?$9.40May 11, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?$5.98May 11, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?$7.00May 11, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$9.86May 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$11.00May 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 12?$10.98May 11, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.