Secondary-Shock
0xf0f8711f85b0ba0e1b1a2dea56b560b69a6afcf6
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-59.52
Realised
$-6.35
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
670 shares @ 61.1¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$418.84
$9.54
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1010 shares @ 38.6¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$378.24
$-12.16
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
586 shares @ 57.3¢·now 55.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$325.93
$-9.42
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
254 shares @ 42.6¢·now 44.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.65
$4.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 8?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$28.86
$8.88
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 7?
59 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$14.75
$-1.18
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 8?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$7.65
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 7?
230 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 7, 2026$7.47
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 7?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$1.32
$-0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 7?
36 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.4¢·exp May 7, 2026$1.22
$0.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.004h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$25.945h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$26.015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$18.386h ago
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$10.076h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 7?$1.217h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 7?$9.407h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 7?$1.507h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 7?$16.517h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?$1.377h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 8?$20.897h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 8?$8.667h ago
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$7.327h ago
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$102.807h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$59.5212h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$26.0412h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.0012h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$26.6012h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$25.1112h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.0012h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $34.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20h ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
