Puzzled-Inevitable
0xf0ff5f30f106e5e865bceb650ef0cf713549a806
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-664.48
Win rate
0%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
27500 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-989.72
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?
10220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.21
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-134.90
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Ecuador?
1429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?
1382 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Ghana?
1143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Ghana?
1127 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Exact Score: Club Santos Laguna 1 - 0 CD Guadalajara?
1124 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Club Santos Laguna 0 - 0 CD Guadalajara?
1111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: Club Santos Laguna 0 - 1 CD Guadalajara?$500.00Aug 17, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Santos Laguna 1 - 0 CD Guadalajara?$52.39Aug 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Santos Laguna 0 - 2 CD Guadalajara?$52.24Aug 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Santos Laguna 0 - 0 CD Guadalajara?$52.39Aug 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Santos Laguna 0 - 1 CD Guadalajara?$52.25Aug 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Santos Laguna 1 - 1 CD Guadalajara?$52.25Aug 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Santos Laguna 1 - 2 CD Guadalajara?$52.22Aug 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Club Santos Laguna 1 - 3 CD Guadalajara?$52.30Aug 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?$1.11Aug 13, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-12?$215.34Aug 13, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?$227.05Aug 13, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?$208.64Aug 13, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-12?$233.42Aug 13, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?$172.30Aug 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?$61.69Aug 13, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-12?$248.83Aug 13, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals$186.19Jul 26, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: CD Guadalajara 1 - 0 FC Juárez?$186.44Jul 26, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CD Guadalajara 1 - 0 FC Juárez?$64.26Jul 26, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLCD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: Draw at halftime?$64.60Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
63 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $79.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.