Tremendous-Decrease
0xf104e646dfbc11a9f6c26c7d7a067a7095495e4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$572.69
Total PnL
$-112.95
Realised
$-11.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
513 shares @ 58.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$513.16
$213.16
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$59.52
$9.52
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: February
213 shares @ 65.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 28?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 28?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 25?
100 shares @ 88.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-88.30
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 25?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
63 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-45.49
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$40.00Feb 25, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$140.00Feb 19, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 19, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: February$4.69Feb 19, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$197.80Feb 19, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$98.50Feb 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: February$117.83Feb 19, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$92.90Feb 18, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$15.35Feb 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$2.09Feb 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$2.09Feb 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$20.30Feb 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$20.30Feb 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$2.09Feb 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$20.30Feb 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$20.30Feb 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$29.03Feb 18, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$2.09Feb 18, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia$499.50Feb 18, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$138.04Feb 18, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $71.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 18:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.