Rectangular-Lawn
0xf106a35ccaf20d0a1da3d1ef0c6da73b6c478e2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.61
Total PnL
$-405.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-1.39
- FAVBET
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage
4994 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
698 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
266 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
264 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Spurs
189 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-43.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.17Mar 23, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$15.15Feb 8, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Celtics$15.15Feb 8, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Rockets$20.78Feb 5, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Lakers$10.00Feb 5, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Celtics$10.00Feb 5, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Suns$20.00Feb 5, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Rockets$10.00Feb 5, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Raptors$18.52Feb 5, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Kings$20.00Feb 5, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Rockets$32.26Feb 5, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$33.40Feb 4, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Kings$10.00Feb 4, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$10.00Feb 4, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Rockets$10.00Feb 4, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Raptors$10.00Feb 4, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Knicks$10.00Feb 4, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Pistons$15.15Feb 4, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Trail Blazers$17.54Feb 4, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Warriors$24.39Feb 4, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $13.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.