Limping-Representative
0xf1119c81fe6cadb7afa4b42a302c82bbff3a2a81
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$84.18
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
6665 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
6520 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-44.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
4000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
2735 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-27.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
1919 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-28.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1820 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1564 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$23.56Jul 4, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$25.71Jul 4, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$18.87May 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$2.36Mar 26, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.62Mar 26, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$16.45Mar 26, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$30.00Mar 26, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$30.00Mar 26, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.54Mar 26, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.45Mar 26, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.45Mar 26, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.07Mar 26, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$1.22Mar 26, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$1.30Mar 26, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$5.31Mar 26, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$11.00Mar 25, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$6.28Mar 25, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$0.38Mar 25, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$0.85Mar 25, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$3.00Mar 25, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 22:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 15:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.