Glamorous-Marmalade
0xf1442a39781e5a904dd82b90eb2fd12a4082f348
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.96
Total PnL
$-7.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$2.28
$0.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
39 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $325-$330 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?
2 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 25, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.54Apr 25, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.58Apr 25, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$2.00Apr 25, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.32Feb 19, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT win the okbet trading competition?$1.45Feb 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.29Feb 3, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$1.30Jan 31, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?$0.42Jan 18, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEM49ers vs. Seahawks$0.00Jan 18, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEM49ers vs. Seahawks$0.00Jan 18, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEM49ers vs. Seahawks$1.37Jan 18, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$1.05Jan 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$2.00Jan 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?$2.00Jan 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?$2.00Jan 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Jan 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Seahawks$1.00Jan 17, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.