Sugary-Pier
0xf1485e5b53aa9fdfaaa3ea8d561bcb91b3d6f863
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$10.29
Total PnL
$-137.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 15?
6 shares @ 28.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.10
$0.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on May 16?
11 shares @ 7.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.76
$0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on May 15?
6 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.35
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 16?
6 shares @ 22.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.05
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 16?
6 shares @ 28.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.81
$-0.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?
12 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.58
$-0.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or higher on May 16?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.50
$-0.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on May 16?
22 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.46
$-0.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?
6 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.42
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or higher on May 15?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.28
$-0.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$2.00May 14, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$2.00May 14, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.74May 14, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.01May 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.90May 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$2.00May 14, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.96May 14, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$2.06May 14, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.21May 14, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$0.68May 14, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.05May 14, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$2.16May 14, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 16?$1.37May 14, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$7.40May 14, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.44May 14, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.55May 14, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.54May 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on May 16?$1.10May 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?$0.59May 14, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 16?$1.74May 14, 05:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".