Shy-Manner
0xf174c12a11df3aa1122fe5892e805e99c31c2a4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.35
Total PnL
$-16.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 11?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 24?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 9?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 9?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 9?
545 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans
9 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.80
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$97.10Jun 10, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$97.01Jun 10, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 11?$2.31Jun 10, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$99.60Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$99.50May 31, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?$99.69May 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?$99.60May 28, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?$99.60May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?$99.51May 15, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?$99.50May 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?$99.41May 13, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$99.10May 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$99.00May 10, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?$2.31May 10, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$101.60May 8, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$101.50May 5, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$101.54May 5, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$101.44Apr 28, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 23?$101.44Apr 28, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 23?$101.35Apr 23, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $69.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.