Precious-Program
0xf19c95315ee96ceb3797a6480d11580f61186bb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$246.33
Total PnL
$-673.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.29
$2.29
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on July 11?
82 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$81.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
36 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.80
$3.80
- NO
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?
15 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$15.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
14 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.57
$0.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
3988 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-39.88
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
987 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-340.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
717 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit North Korea by December 31?$13.29Jul 8, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on July 11?$82.01Jul 8, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$95.19Jul 8, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$95.01Jun 25, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$20.04Jun 25, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 June 8-14?$75.08Jun 25, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 June 8-14?$75.01Jun 10, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$20.00Jun 10, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$10.53Jun 10, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 4?$82.16Jun 10, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 4?$82.01Jun 2, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$10.00Jun 2, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$20.02Jun 2, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on May 26?$73.07Jun 2, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$20.00May 22, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $130 on May 26?$73.01May 22, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.00May 22, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$14.13May 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$41.32May 14, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$102.85May 14, 12:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $94.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.