Adventurous-Familiarity
0xf1a4be25118030418d1b389c88c1525041a7527c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$973.91
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$2.5K
Win rate
36%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
300 shares @ 60.8¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$157.50
$-25.00
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
123 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$120.43
$0.43
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
637 shares @ 21.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$111.48
$-24.52
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 51.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.75
$-10.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
633 shares @ 0.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.52
$50.32
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
80 shares @ 67.1¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.40
$-1.30
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
460 shares @ 11.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.70
$-9.90
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
152 shares @ 30.6¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.29
$-6.21
- NO
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
242 shares @ 24.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.57
$-21.82
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
83 shares @ 44.3¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$33.09
$-3.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAltcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?$0.05Jun 5, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$3.82Jun 5, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$2.81Jun 5, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.56Jun 5, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?$16.00Jun 5, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?$7.47Jun 5, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$3.60Jun 5, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAltcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?$4.25Jun 5, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$2.55Jun 5, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$28.00Jun 5, 02:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?$120.00Jun 4, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$1.00Jun 4, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$28.00Jun 4, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.00Jun 4, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$5.00Jun 4, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.00Jun 4, 04:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?$5.00Jun 3, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?$3.00Jun 3, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".