Polished-Grand
0xf1bf47707b8e4cec6292eaa6bc47dc25871411d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$26.16
Total PnL
$-47.8K
Realised
$464.39
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3737 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$26.16
$-1.6K
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
150000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.0K
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
84139 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.4K
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?
9122 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
3239 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-129.57
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
1616 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-678.67
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.11Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.55Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$301.42Jun 9, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$99.40Jun 9, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$710.00Jun 9, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1000.00Jun 9, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$284.00Jun 9, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$710.00Jun 9, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$50.00Jun 9, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$50.00Jun 9, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.6KJun 9, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$60.83Jun 9, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.00Jun 9, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.76Jun 9, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$200.00Jun 9, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00Jun 9, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00Jun 9, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00Jun 9, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$115.96Jun 9, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$46.15Jun 9, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.