Descriptive-Snowman
0xf1d7bd7f606f4b43ff1553f8a78e6d2afe74b02e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$44.94
Total PnL
$-602.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.10
$0.01
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
3 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.92
$0.00
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.76
$0.11
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.61
$0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.36
$0.03
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.26
$0.04
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.23
$0.04
- NO
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.19
$0.03
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.96
$-0.01
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.88
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 5?$1.57Jun 4, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$1.31Jun 4, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$1.28Jun 4, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?$2.05Jun 1, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?$2.07Jun 1, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMUber # of trips above 3.2B in Q1?$1.02May 30, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$1.03May 30, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?$1.08May 30, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.47May 30, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 20, 2026?$1.76May 30, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$2.13May 30, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$2.46May 30, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.02May 30, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?$2.00May 30, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?$2.00May 30, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$1.23May 24, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$1.25May 24, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$1.97May 21, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?$2.80May 21, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?$1.27May 19, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $63.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 11:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".