Fantastic-Councilman
0xf1e421d8f9c13ebd161b33e8c853850c4548f622
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$139.88
Total PnL
$-194.37
Realised
$-137.31
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?
70 shares @ 92.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.88
$-13.91
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
40 shares @ 62.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.19
$1.40
- NO
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?
43 shares @ 72.7¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.20
$-6.96
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
61 shares @ 39.4¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.14
$-3.02
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
75 shares @ 52.7¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.87
$-25.66
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
41 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.25
$-4.30
- NO
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.35
$0.03
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?
33 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
2 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.1% in June?$6.20Jul 14, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$6.54Jul 14, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.0% in June?$20.97Jul 14, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$9.30Jun 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$6.20Jun 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$9.29Jun 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.22Jun 19, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$13.94Jun 19, 06:03 UTC
- MERGEWill ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?$0.10Jun 18, 04:19 UTC
- MERGEWill annual inflation be 4.0% in June?$0.54Jun 18, 04:19 UTC
- MERGEWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?$2.09Jun 18, 04:19 UTC
- MERGEWill annual inflation be 3.7% in June?$195.93Jun 18, 04:19 UTC
- MERGEWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$313.43Jun 18, 04:19 UTC
- MERGEUS recession by end of 2026?$507.87Jun 18, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$276.05Jun 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.7% in June?$1.03Jun 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.0% in June?$20.48Jun 17, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$5.65Jun 17, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?$5.14Jun 17, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.7% in June?$66.68Jun 17, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $45.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.