Excited-Pancreas
0xf1fddaa5047e7ea0188ecebf8effb2a3a6edb42c
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$8.6K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$-6.82
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
3519 shares @ 74.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.5K
$902.65
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
1915 shares @ 84.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.8K
$167.58
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
910 shares @ 80.7¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$881.93
$147.76
- NO
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?
363 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$339.40
$12.59
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
338 shares @ 89.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$333.32
$29.97
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
355 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$323.05
$14.20
- NO
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
300 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$268.49
$13.50
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
212 shares @ 58.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$183.09
$59.60
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
800 shares @ 25.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?
120 shares @ 91.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$114.03
$3.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?$4.98Jun 14, 01:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.78Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$20.74Jun 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$170.00Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$33.21Jun 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$22.67Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$5.67Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$2.71Jun 13, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$105.00Jun 13, 15:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$7.12Jun 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$26.78Jun 12, 16:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?$4.02Jun 11, 22:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $56.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.