Wiry-Termite
0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$42.3K
Total PnL
$-39.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
14583 shares @ 64.9¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.3K
$820.68
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
17540 shares @ 45.6¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.3K
$331.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
9236 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.1K
$780.74
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
8689 shares @ 67.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.0K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
5832 shares @ 41.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.7K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
1419 shares @ 91.6¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$57.51
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
1118 shares @ 89.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$92.37
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2160 shares @ 46.3¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$874.87
$-125.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
586 shares @ 85.3¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$413.20
$-86.80
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
446 shares @ 67.2¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$407.31
$107.31
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.77Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.92Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.88Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.91Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.97Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.06Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.07Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.02Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.93Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.94Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.89Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$3.88Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.96Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.89Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$3.62Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.52Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.52Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.40Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.30Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $845.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.