Suburban-Wool
0xf2252e4aa8386e26cae9a778c9b9ec41fcedcc69
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$368.47
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
82%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?
40 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.38
$-0.92
- NO
Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.30
$-2.70
- YES
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by 5–10%?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.29
$-1.71
- YES
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.24
$-3.36
- YES
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?
46 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.23
$-6.16
- YES
Will more than 10 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.13
$-2.87
- YES
Will Byron Nolen be the MI-12 Democratic nominee?
20 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.11
$-0.69
- YES
Will Shanelle Jackson be the MI-12 Democratic nominee?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Peter Pfeifer be the MO-02 Republican nominee?
43 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.07
$-0.28
- YES
Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
20 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$-1.43
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$0.45Jul 21, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hélène Laporte be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?$0.20Jul 21, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$0.02Jul 19, 08:42 UTC
- REWARD$40.34Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$0.10Jul 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?$0.20Jul 11, 02:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.41Jul 11, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$18.18Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$0.11Jul 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$0.15Jul 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$0.10Jul 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$0.12Jul 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$0.29Jul 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?$0.95Jul 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$1.29Jul 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?$1.25Jul 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$0.90Jul 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$0.70Jul 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.33Jul 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?$2.16Jul 10, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
55 closed markets, 82% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.