Wiggly-Boogeyman
0xf24d06356f0304c42982ebe314ecac220b217588
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$419.03
Total PnL
$-1.32
Realised
$-0.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
400 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$399.81
$0.20
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: Other
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ivan Moraes win the Pernambuco Governor election?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.90
$-0.00
- NO
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 88.9¢·now 86.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Carsten Linnemann be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$0.00
- NO
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$-0.01
- NO
Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?$1.11Jul 27, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$125.39Jul 27, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$2.00Jul 27, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$272.23Jul 26, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carsten Linnemann be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?$1.90Jul 26, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?$1.00Jul 26, 21:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$340.21Jul 24, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$56.78Jul 24, 08:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 22?$2.69Jul 22, 22:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$1.01Jul 21, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the earnings call not air?$2.01Jul 21, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$397.36Jul 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$1.00Jul 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 22?$2.68Jul 21, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the earnings call not air?$2.00Jul 21, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$375.56Jul 21, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $123.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.