Black-Tick
0xf24f3cf41751e9a261d0f3a3a977abeedaba15b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-0.88
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4844 shares @ 13.6¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$467.45
$-191.58
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
450 shares @ 26.4¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$182.25
$63.25
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$162.50
$-44.47
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 17.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$156.00
$20.00
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
18160 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$154.36
$-87.40
- YES
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$69.23
$19.23
- NO
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$55.56
$5.56
- YES
Will Switzerland finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$53.79
$3.79
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
265 shares @ 18.9¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$53.04
$3.04
- YES
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$52.88
$2.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$30.38Jun 13, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$44.25Jun 13, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$51.23Jun 13, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$51.21Jun 13, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.37Jun 13, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden finish second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$20.43Jun 13, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$51.22Jun 13, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$51.11Jun 13, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$51.23Jun 13, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.64Jun 13, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$51.26Jun 13, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.80Jun 13, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$51.19Jun 13, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$35.71Jun 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$10.20Jun 11, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.36Jun 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden finish second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$10.20Jun 11, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $39.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.