Disguised-Caterpillar
0xf278a84d36655390a89ae5af1639c5385ad4f4cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.20
Total PnL
$-41.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.21
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 19?
5383 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 5?
5347 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 21?
2087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?
2086 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 12?
2086 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on April 26?
2072 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on May 1?
2059 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on January 30?
1075 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$20.30Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$20.20Jun 9, 08:22 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.43Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$21.49Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$21.40May 25, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$21.53May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$21.41May 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 12?$4.17May 13, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?$2.1KMay 8, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?$2.1KMay 8, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?$2.1KMay 7, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?$2.1KMay 7, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?$2.1KMay 7, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?$2.1KMay 7, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 6?$2.1KMay 6, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 6?$2.1KMay 6, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?$2.1KMay 6, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?$2.1KMay 6, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.20May 6, 02:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $511.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.