Some-Emanate
0xf28bec7e81cce326415ac036821ec96c7391e517
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-121.00
Realised
$-9.29
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 13?
1028 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
68 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
45 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-26.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 15?$10.00May 15, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.14May 15, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?$19.81May 15, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?$16.74May 14, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on May 14?$1.17May 14, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?$16.05May 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?$15.00May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 14?$5.41May 14, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 15?$9.14May 14, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 14?$1.71May 14, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 14?$1.47May 14, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 14?$0.88May 14, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.39May 14, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?$9.96May 14, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 14?$6.17May 14, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?$4.99May 14, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 14?$5.93May 14, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?$1.32May 14, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?$1.24May 14, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?$2.95May 14, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.