Decisive-Ejector
0xf28ff4697bc86297e75460d27c35bb3b66090327
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-34.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
1084 shares @ 92.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$46.59
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4551 shares @ 4.4¢·now 13.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$603.06
$403.06
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
705 shares @ 70.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$602.71
$102.72
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
520 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$509.62
$9.62
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
315 shares @ 95.2¢·now 91.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$287.97
$-12.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
253 shares @ 79.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$244.68
$44.68
- NO
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
219 shares @ 91.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$206.56
$6.56
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
260 shares @ 77.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$131.08
$-68.92
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
111 shares @ 89.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.98
$2.98
- NO
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
51 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$50.43
$0.43
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$52.08Jul 25, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$133.33Jul 25, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.