Cheery-Comedy
0xf29dbb8a92efb21e55094f0892a0a5d28b8fadd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-244.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
720 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$406.72
$3.53
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
600 shares @ 50.4¢·now 53.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$323.39
$21.00
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
750 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$247.49
$-22.50
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
252 shares @ 56.7¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$199.36
$56.31
- NO
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$177.00
$9.00
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
400 shares @ 25.5¢·now 28.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$112.76
$10.56
- NO
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 30, 2026?
220 shares @ 32.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$110.00
$39.60
- NO
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?
91 shares @ 68.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$83.72
$21.84
- YES
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
349 shares @ 10.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.06
$33.16
- NO
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.45
$1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 30, 2026?$72.79Jul 23, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?$2.15Jul 23, 03:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.07Jul 23, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?$62.87Jul 22, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.15Jul 22, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$23.38Jul 22, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$6.37Jul 22, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$8.98Jul 22, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$4.62Jul 22, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$7.65Jul 22, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$42.74Jul 22, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$8.46Jul 22, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$0.56Jul 22, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$2.56Jul 22, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$31.03Jul 22, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$14.33Jul 22, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$253.91Jul 22, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.00Jul 22, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega$116.00Jul 22, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$110.00Jul 22, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $38.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 12:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.