Happy-Go-Lucky-Nickel
0xf29fe54cb5e8f539b181ef88e2b296858e1255d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$699.59
Total PnL
$-109.15
Realised
$0.55
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$98.75
$0.05
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$98.75
$0.25
- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$98.65
$-0.05
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$96.95
$-0.87
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
100 shares @ 92.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.95
$0.82
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 93.2¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$90.36
$-2.81
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
65 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.82
$1.21
- NO
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$56.79
$0.07
- NO
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Republic of Ireland?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 50.9¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$2.57
$-2.43
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
13000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-101.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Republic of Ireland?$5.00Jun 5, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.05Jun 5, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.00Jun 5, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Moldova 3 - 3 Bulgaria?$5.05Jun 5, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Moldova 3 - 3 Bulgaria?$5.00Jun 5, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMThailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 5.5$5.25Jun 5, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 5.5$5.00Jun 5, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?$5.20Jun 5, 11:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?$4.99Jun 3, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$5.05Jun 3, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$5.00Jun 3, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$2.79Jun 3, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$2.76Jun 3, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$5.10Jun 3, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$5.00Jun 3, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Haiti 2 - 3 New Zealand?$5.09Jun 3, 05:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$4.96Jun 2, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $12.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 21:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".