Delightful-Monastery
0xf2a7d71c0f7b7fc600366cb0050a6428308c0bfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$161.52
Total PnL
$-81.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?
148 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$148.25
$0.25
- UNDER
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
13 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$13.28
$5.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 8?
710 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 23?
684 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
660 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 12?
650 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 8?
620 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- BERTOLA
Lugano: Remy Bertola vs Michael Mmoh
25 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-11.80
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals
17 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.79
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Magic
17 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?$148.01Jul 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$7.86Jul 17, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $160 in June?$155.78Jul 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $160 in June?$155.03Jun 27, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of June 22 2026?$155.39Jun 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of June 22 2026?$155.02Jun 26, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$10.46Jun 26, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$14.91Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$129.95Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$129.69May 31, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$1.64May 31, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$131.35May 31, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$130.61May 30, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$8.07May 30, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$137.81May 30, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$138.04May 30, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$138.92May 30, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$138.79May 29, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$10.45May 29, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 28?$15.10May 29, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $107.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.