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0xf2b05d854e0af18e70b76e96534e2e7f7a04b26b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$25.6K
Total PnL
$-21.8K
Realised
$-764.80
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
17276 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.7K
$94.68
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
4500 shares @ 94.9¢·now 77.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.5K
$-774.49
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
3306 shares @ 77.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$101.81
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$945.00
$15.00
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
1000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$925.00
$25.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
700 shares @ 89.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$675.49
$48.40
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$515.00
$-315.00
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$447.50
$-17.50
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
397 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$371.38
$5.79
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
300 shares @ 94.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$294.45
$12.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$556.25Jun 9, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$991.00Jun 9, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$991.00Jun 9, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.09Jun 9, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$9.91Jun 9, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.30Jun 9, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.36Jun 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$353.15Jun 9, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$200.68Jun 9, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 9, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 9, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 9, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 9, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $143.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.