0xf2e265ded9c88e2e57bd0cf7ff588736884d06fb
0xf2e265ded9c88e2e57bd0cf7ff588736884d06fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$14.0K
Total PnL
$-279.69
Realised
$38.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$-55.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$-15.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 6.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$375.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 11.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$965.00
$-155.00
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
1164 shares @ 75.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$890.77
$11.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$835.00
$-25.00
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1714 shares @ 47.4¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$831.42
$17.93
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$785.00
$-105.00
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1155 shares @ 53.6¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$774.11
$154.33
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2061 shares @ 28.3¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$556.42
$-26.85
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.68Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$170.47Jun 9, 10:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.78Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.85Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.85May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.86May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.86May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.87May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.87May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.86May 26, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $186.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.