Purple-Pace
0xf2e880e2e91ddcb61f11b08f2994bf7cba02e187
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$40.77
Total PnL
$-137.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$9.87
$-0.13
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.34
$0.34
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$4.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.9¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$4.37
$-0.63
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$4.25
$0.25
- YES
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$-2.96
- YES
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
367 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.92
$-1.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMITF Cary: Reese Brantmeier vs Yexin Ma$2.78Jun 30, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$1.04Jun 30, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 350-375mm of precipitation in June?$1.05Jun 30, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 30, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$2.82Jun 30, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?$1.07Jun 30, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$5.35Jun 30, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.08Jun 30, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by July 31?$0.79Jun 30, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals$4.07Jun 30, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Cary: Reese Brantmeier vs Yexin Ma$1.02Jun 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Store: Michael Savano vs Vid Mohar$6.12Jun 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel$5.10Jun 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Vilius Gaubas$5.14Jun 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek$1.77Jun 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Fearnley (+1.5)$10.16Jun 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$3.47Jun 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?$4.16Jun 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 30?$5.28Jun 30, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$7.26Jun 30, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 16:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.