Rough-Burn
0xf2ebf9ff40c04f618f14037000e85bf2e66d562d
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$203.57
Total PnL
$-389.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
72 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$67.32
$6.84
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
51 shares @ 79.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$47.17
$6.88
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
30 shares @ 73.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.01
$7.87
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 87.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.00
$3.66
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
15 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.00
$4.05
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
10 shares @ 83.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$1.62
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
28 shares @ 51.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.06
$-10.22
- YES
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?
178468 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-44.8K
- OVER
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5
153855 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-79.0K
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?
98626 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-26.6K
Recent activity
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Prado$21.00May 27, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres$33.08May 27, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics$35.00May 27, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$35.50May 27, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers$36.00May 27, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$36.00May 27, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals$36.60May 27, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Thunder (-5.5)$40.00May 27, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$43.00May 27, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox$18.40May 26, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres$15.46May 26, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics$18.11May 26, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers$22.22May 26, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$19.43May 26, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals$24.04May 26, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$26.34May 26, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$14.28May 26, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-5.5)$19.90May 26, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$27.39May 26, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$25.07May 26, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 08:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".