Stained-Cynic
0xf2f6af4f27ec2dcf4072095ab804016e14cd5817
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$433.2K
Total PnL
$-1.6M
Realised
$24.0K
Win rate
55%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
217992 shares @ 69.3¢·now 54.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$118.8K
$-32.3K
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
92920 shares @ 29.1¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.6K
$30.6K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
57310 shares @ 64.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$53.6K
$16.8K
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
41304 shares @ 81.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$41.3K
$7.6K
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
36688 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$35.8K
$926.01
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
191000 shares @ 17.2¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$27.8K
$-5.1K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
267108 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.4K
$-5.88
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
69082 shares @ 29.2¢·now 29.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.3K
$108.53
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
302604 shares @ 3.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.4K
$6.3K
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
26048 shares @ 32.6¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.3K
$2.8K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$8.3KJun 9, 04:29 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$593.13Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$10.58Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$233.55Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$10.65Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$116.67Jun 7, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$14.00Jun 7, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$270.34Jun 7, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$21.71Jun 7, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$3.51Jun 7, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.40Jun 7, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$11.21Jun 7, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$0.70Jun 7, 23:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$25.95Jun 7, 00:45 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$39.16Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$28.67Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$10.59Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$7.75Jun 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$382.00Jun 6, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$38.20Jun 6, 18:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $142.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.