Dearest-Legume
0xf2f99e7af0a1f2f30aff381beb77661b11145b59
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.84
Realised
$0.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 6?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 6?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 6?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 6?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 5?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ROYAL CHALLENGERS BANGALORE
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
7 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- PUNJAB KINGS
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 6?
5 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$1.43May 7, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$1.12May 7, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$0.30May 7, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$1.08May 7, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.04May 7, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings$1.03May 6, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 6?$0.00May 6, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$0.00May 6, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.00May 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.25May 6, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.02May 6, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.05May 6, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.27May 6, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.02May 6, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.32May 6, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.02May 6, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.07May 6, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 6?$1.04May 6, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 6?$1.05May 6, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 6?$0.27May 6, 04:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.