Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Probability
69¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+5.0pp
24h Vol
$12.68
Liquidity
$18.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+41.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 292.2h
- 01:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 292h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 01:47PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 58.0pp
to 69¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 59.5pp
to 69¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 55.5pp
to 69¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 62.5pp
to 69¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 62.5pp
to 69¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 63.0pp
to 69¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 63.0pp
to 69¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 63.0pp
to 69¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 60.0pp
to 66¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 61.0pp
to 67¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 61.0pp
to 67¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 61.0pp
to 67¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 59.5pp
to 67¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 61.0pp
to 69¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 56.5pp
to 64¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 56.0pp
to 64¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 55.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 53.5pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 52.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 46.5pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 38.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.0pp
to 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Will Jay Coward win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Kayode Damali win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 31¢0.0pp
Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Politics · Vol $480.72
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Josh Matthews win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Roger Mighton win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Peter Newman win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Sylbourne Sydial win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will someone else win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $7.9M
- 2¢-1.4pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $651.7K
- 43¢-5.0pp
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $571.3K
- 20¢+4.5pp
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Politics · Vol $442.5K
- 5¢-1.0pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $435.0K
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $393.0K
Market Description
The 2026 Lewisham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).