0xf2fa5724e000a044e6cb521f17dd679cf7e85b79
0xf2fa5724e000a044e6cb521f17dd679cf7e85b79
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
118
Open notional
$0.27
Total PnL
$-478.83
Realised
$-0.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- NO
Democratic sweep?
1118 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-208.00
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel before August?
312 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Pakistan strike on India by Friday?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China before September?
130 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
117 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".