Gracious-Skeleton
0xf32b3d89ee121c7363e4c05aaca3f00c4e4394ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$604.28
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
513 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$512.82
$312.82
- GAETHJE
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
67 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$66.67
$16.67
- NO
Will the fight be won by submission?
25 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$24.79
$10.41
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
6500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1803 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
1012 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-370.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 9?
800 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
622 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-112.00
- NO
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
597 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?$1.97Jan 25, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$50.00Jan 25, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$48.69Jan 25, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$80.00Jan 25, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$14.38Jan 25, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?$25.00Jan 25, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$56.86Jan 25, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$47.18Jan 25, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$120.00Jan 25, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$20.00Jan 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$152.48Jan 17, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$370.00Jan 15, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$365.98Jan 15, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$320.00Jan 14, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$314.14Jan 14, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$300.00Jan 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?$20.00Jan 13, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?$20.00Jan 13, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$100.00Jan 13, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$165.33Jan 13, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $90.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".