Alert-Leather
0xf3537ca1d68f6b7628ebcd1334d881e611637aec
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
112
Open notional
$779.66
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$22.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1065 shares @ 44.6¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$431.42
$-43.59
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$102.83
$2.83
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
30 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.33
$0.44
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
162 shares @ 15.4¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$23.48
$-1.52
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
148 shares @ 13.5¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
852 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.23
$-6.77
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
230 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.83
$-2.17
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
838 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.66
$-5.34
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$15.00Jun 5, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 5, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25Jun 5, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25Jun 5, 08:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$27.58May 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$29.47May 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$30.47May 28, 10:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$10.33May 26, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$2.08May 26, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $18.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".