Alert-Impress
0xf3a7dcc0dda69fb77ed5293ec8710729e00a46d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$122.75
Total PnL
$-6.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
114 shares @ 88.7¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$95.51
$-5.38
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
27 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$27.20
$13.58
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
27 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.04
$-13.58
- YES
Will Laura Evans win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
1250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- SPLITWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$27.24Aug 3, 06:00 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?$27.35Aug 2, 17:08 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?$27.35Aug 2, 04:19 UTC
- MERGEWill Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$27.49Jul 17, 03:13 UTC
- SPLITWill Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$27.49Jul 16, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance attend NATO Summit?$28.46Jul 15, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Evans win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$1.30Jul 2, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?$0.00Jul 1, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance attend NATO Summit?$28.03Jun 28, 21:56 UTC
- MERGEJapan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$27.88Jun 26, 09:52 UTC
- SPLITJapan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$27.88Jun 25, 20:57 UTC
- MERGEWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$28.29Jun 8, 15:25 UTC
- SPLITWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$28.29Jun 8, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Imperium Europa win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$0.00May 31, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$28.21May 31, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $9.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 05:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.