Golden-Divalent
0xf3ab4dd72fd05cc831205e26ccc9290be94bdacc
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$126.40
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-77.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
444 shares @ 11.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.40
$76.40
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
200000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
11506 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
7779 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
5556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Syria strikes Israel by August 31?
3502 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-164.99
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$40.91Jul 7, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$10.25Jul 7, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$20.52Jul 7, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$51.14Jul 7, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$51.15Jul 7, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?$8.13Feb 21, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$101.00Feb 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?$121.00Feb 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$100.00Feb 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$41.00Feb 6, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 26, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$21.76Jan 23, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$13.46Jan 23, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Strike on Israel by January 15?$1.51Jan 19, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by January 15?$50.00Jan 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$50.00Jan 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$100.00Jan 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$10.69Jan 9, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$100.00Jan 8, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$50.00Jan 8, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $90.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 6, 13:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.