Gorgeous-Parenthesis
0xf3e17b40eafc80101adaf46737eed461801f6845
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$62.09
Total PnL
$-571.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
296 shares @ 22.7¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.09
$-4.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
8329 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
2143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
417 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
315 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-73.24
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$40.00Mar 4, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$41.67Mar 4, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$17.00Feb 28, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$40.00Feb 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$80.00Feb 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.96Feb 28, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$10.00Feb 28, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$52.27Feb 28, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$50.00Feb 28, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$12.00Feb 28, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$25.00Feb 28, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$40.00Feb 28, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$3.54Feb 28, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$20.00Feb 28, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$50.00Feb 28, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$70.74Feb 28, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$3.00Feb 28, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$30.00Feb 28, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$20.00Feb 28, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $29.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 08:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.