Prudent-Realization-Farrow
0xf3fa24ccca4b2eb320eed99828cdec812eb87be3
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$682.37
Total PnL
$26.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
198 shares @ 49.5¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$106.92
$8.95
- NO
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?
132 shares @ 73.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$94.38
$-1.98
- NO
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?
101 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$86.36
$-0.50
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
63 shares @ 81.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.87
$2.40
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
103 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$52.01
$-1.54
- YES
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
102 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$50.49
$-0.51
- NO
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by July 31?
39 shares @ 85.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$36.56
$3.26
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
39 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.39
$0.19
- YES
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?
99 shares @ 30.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$30.20
$-0.41
- YES
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?
101 shares @ 26.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.77
$2.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.6% in July?$2.38Jul 16, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.6% in July?$9.31Jul 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.1% in July?$0.05Jul 16, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.8% in July?$0.01Jul 16, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.7% in July?$0.01Jul 16, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.0% in July?$0.01Jul 16, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.6% in July?$0.15Jul 16, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.0% in July?$0.01Jul 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.1% in July?$0.10Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.8% in July?$0.02Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.0% in July?$0.03Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.7% in July?$0.03Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.7% in July?$0.01Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.8% in July?$0.04Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.7% in July?$0.02Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.1% in July?$0.05Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.8% in July?$0.02Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.6% in July?$0.15Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.1% in July?$0.05Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.6% in July?$0.06Jul 16, 10:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.