Gray-Promenade
0xf404d58cb62456f20c0ef6df2515f05c26e50422
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$393.72
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$3.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$115.22
$15.22
- YES
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$92.45
$-7.55
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$68.75
$-31.25
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
240 shares @ 41.7¢·now 27.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$65.65
$-34.35
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.52
$-73.48
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
272 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.14
$-99.86
- YES
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?
1500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- ANNA BONDAR
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar
88 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-20?
83 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Italy win on 2026-06-07?$13.89Jun 7, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-07?$12.35Jun 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$10.75Jun 7, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-07?$10.06Jun 7, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win on 2026-06-07?$10.08Jun 7, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$37.04Jun 7, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$13.50Jun 7, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMHSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Aoi Ito$12.80Jun 7, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMCenturion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander Donski$12.82Jun 7, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$101.41Jun 7, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$30.17Jun 7, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Aoi Ito$10.07Jun 7, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Maia$10.13Jun 7, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCenturion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander Donski$10.07Jun 7, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$10.08Jun 7, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$10.02Jun 7, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMBirmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva$35.71Jun 4, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMMakarska: Tena Lukas vs Darja Semenistaja$11.45Jun 4, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMBirmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky Hijikata$11.90Jun 4, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMBirmingham (Doubles): Broom/Stevenson vs Kirkov/Peers$10.64Jun 4, 15:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $15.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.